The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dunkerque 38.4%
Draw 28.8%
Red Star 32.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.7%
27.4%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
27.3%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.4%
13.6%
50%
Dunkerque - Red Star Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Red Star will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 29.1% โ 70.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 50%). Red Star (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Red Star (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DC - Red Star (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Red Star (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
60. Niflore M. (G) 2. Georgen A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 23. Sasso V. 21. Kondo G. 6. Diong P. 10. Essimi M. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 77. Zossou A. 9. Robinet T.
16. Poussin G. (G) 20. Durivaux D. 24. Lemonnier P. 27. Danger B. 81. Haag G. 22. Sylla D. 98. Hachem R. (C) 11. Cisse K. 3. Huard M. 91. Cabral K. 29. Benali H.
Substitutes
30. Abner F. 11. Daho A. 18. Diop M. 19. Kante A. 1. Lavin M. (G) 27. Linguet A. 80. Yassine G.
1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 7. Durand D. 5. Escartin J. 23. Ikanga J. 4. Kayi Sanda J. 10. Khaoui S. E. 25. Trani G.
Coaches
Sanchez A.
Poirier G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Durivaux D. (Own goal),
16', Haag G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Georgen A. 🟨,
53', 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Sekongo A. ⚽, Kondo G. (A),
62', Sylla D. ↓, Khaoui S. E. ↑,
62', Benali H. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Essimi M. ⚽, Kondo G. (A),
69', Hachem R. ↓, Trani G. ↑,
72', Zossou A. ↓, Abner F. ↑,
72', Essimi M. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
74', Danger B. ↓, Escartin J. ↑,
74', Lemonnier P. ↓, Kayi Sanda J. ↑,
76', Escartin J. 🟨,
79', Bardeli E. ↓, Linguet A. ↑,
79', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
79', Georgen A. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
90+1', Huard M. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2.
Dunkerque has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Red Star is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Dunkerque: Eguaras I.
(Injury)
Lavin M.
(Leg Injury)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sylvestre E.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Eickmayer J.
(Injury)
Guindo S.
(Inactive)
Halifa I.
(Inactive)
Renel S.
(Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Red Star - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.9%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.