Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 10

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Referee: Lindgren M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Gefle		Örebro

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.75
	2.35	3.2	2.8
	2.45	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.44	3.36	2.96
	2.43	3.36	2.94
	2.3	3.25	2.7
	2.42	3.38	2.78	Watch
	2.36	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.79)	3.33 (3.33)	2.81 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gefle
38.9%

Draw
27.9%

Örebro
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

26.3%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gefle's performance.

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Örebro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gefle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Örebro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Gefle - Örebro Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Gefle will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gefle: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Johansson T. (G) 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 5. Hakansson N. 7. Edqvist A. 35. Adrian S. 6. Browning L. 24. Rafael Y. 18. Capotondi C. 9. Hjelte J. 8. Lundin A.	1. Pahlsson M. (G) 27. Valgeirsson V. 4. McCue E. 5. Modig J. 2. Bjornstad T. 28. Bark A. 15. Bergmark N. 22. Shlimon L. 14. Shagaxle H. 8. Saeid M. 17. Holmberg K. (C)
Substitutes
11. Englund L. 14. Friman S. P. 20. Hjelm A. 1. Jonsson O. (G) 16. Persson K. 44. Ranera I. 10. Yakoub A.	7. Barsoum E. 24. Dukhan W. 12. Hansemon T. 3. Kack O. 11. Kroon S. 19. Mokede M. 13. Strindholm D. (G)
Coaches
Bengtsson M.	Jardler C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Lundin A. ⚽, Hjelte J. (A),
45+3', Bark A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 2 - 0, Lundin A. ⚽, Capotondi C. (A),
53', Bergmark N. ↓, Barsoum E. ↑,
57', Lundin A. ↓, Englund L. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Bark A. ⚽,
64', Hjelte J. ↓, Yakoub A. ↑,
64', Capotondi C. ↓, Ranera I. ↑,
71', Johansson T. 🟨,
72', Bjornstad T. ↓, Kroon S. ↑,
73', Bark A. ↓, Hansemon T. ↑,
85', Pahlsson M. 🟨,
86', 3 - 1, Englund L. (Pen),
87', Valgeirsson V. ↓, Kack O. ↑,
90+3', Shlimon L. 🟨,
90+5', Kroon S. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gefle won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Gefle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Gefle won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Gefle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
22.05.24	Östersund - Gefle	4:3 ✺
17.05.24	Gefle - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Gefle - Skövde AIK	2:0 ✺
04.05.24	Öster - Gefle	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Gefle - Sandviken	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWTT
- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
23.05.24	Örebro - Utsikten	0:1 ✺
19.05.24	Landskrona - Örebro	0:0 ✺
14.05.24	Örebro - Degerfors	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Östersund - Örebro	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Örebro - Brage	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
03.03.24	Gefle - Örebro	1:2
Swedish Superettan
19.08.23	Gefle - Örebro	2:1
04.06.23	Örebro - Gefle	2:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.09.16	Örebro - Gefle	2:2
19.05.16	Gefle - Örebro	0:4
19.10.15	Gefle - Örebro	2:2
24.05.15	Örebro - Gefle	1:0

Upcoming Matches