Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Gela		Savoia

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.42
	2.53	3.39	2.48	Watch
	2.5	3.28	2.45
	2.5	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.47)	3.35 ↓ (3.43)	2.46 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gela
36.3%

Draw
27%

Savoia
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.3%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

26.7%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Savoia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gela than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Gela - Savoia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Schiavi P. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Schiavi P. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Petta A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Gela	6	1	2	3	4:6	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Città di Gela
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.25	Gela - Gelbison Cilento	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Vibonese - Gela	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Gela - Castrumfavara	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	Reggina - Gela	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Gela - Nissa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWLW
- US Savoia
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.25	Sancataldese - Savoia	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Savoia - Athletic Palermo	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Savoia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Savoia - Vigor Lamezia	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	ACR Messina - Savoia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW

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