Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Savoia		Athletic Palermo

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.35	3.1
	2.14	3.5	2.95	Watch
	2.16	3.34	2.95
	2.12	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.26)	3.36 ↓ (3.43)	3.03 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Savoia
43%

Draw
27%

Athletic Palermo
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

26.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

27.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Athletic Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Savoia - Athletic Palermo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Grillo P. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 1 - 1, Bitonto G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Savoia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Athletic Palermo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Savoia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Savoia
Italian Serie D - Group I
07.12.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Savoia	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Savoia - Vigor Lamezia	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	ACR Messina - Savoia	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ragusa - Savoia	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Savoia - Milazzo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW
- Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I
07.12.25	Athletic Palermo - Vibonese	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Castrumfavara - Athletic Palermo	1:2 ✺
26.11.25	Athletic Palermo - Nissa	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Athletic Palermo - Gelbison Cilento	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Reggina - Athletic Palermo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 TWLWW

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