Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sarrabus Ogliastra		Gelbison Cilento

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.10	2.37
	2.70	2.95	2.40
	2.74	3.21	2.4	Watch
	2.61	3.22	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.73)	3.12 ↑ (3)	2.38 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarrabus Ogliastra
33.5%

Draw
28.7%

Gelbison Cilento
37.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

29.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

30.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarrabus Ogliastra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Gelbison Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Sarrabus Ogliastra aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Sarrabus Ogliastra - Gelbison Cilento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+15', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 16th in the Serie D - Group G (Play Out: ) and 13th in the Serie D - Group G (Play Out: )).

Recent results have been tough for Sarrabus Ogliastra (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Gelbison Cilento have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sarrabus Ogliastra has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sarrabus Ogliastra against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Gelbison	9	3	1	5	10:16	-6	10
14	Sarrabus Ogliastra	9	2	3	4	10:11	-1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Sarrabus Ogliastra - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 32.96%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italian Serie D - Group G
18.10.26	Trastevere - Sarrabus Ogliastra	3:2 ✺
11.10.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Afragolese	0:0 ✺
04.10.26	Latte Dolce - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - UniPomezia	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Albalonga - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLTT
- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group G
18.10.26	Gelbison Cilento - Ossese	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Città di Anagni - Gelbison Cilento	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Vigor Lamezia - Gelbison Cilento	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
04.10.26	Gelbison Cilento - Venafro	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Paganese - Gelbison Cilento	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
27.04.25	Gelbison Cilento - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:0
15.12.24	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Gelbison Cilento	1:2

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