The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boca Unidos 29.1%
Draw 30.3%
General San Martín de Formosa 40.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.7%
29.9%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
29.6%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Boca Unidos - General San Martín de Formosa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Quijano F. (G) 10. Alfano A. 7. Alonso C. 6. Fuyana J. 4. Gonzalez E. 5. Luduena L. 11. Mbombaj G. 9. Mendoza L. 2. Moreyra P. 3. Ramirez L. 8. Villanueva T.
1. Humeler K. (G) 5. Bobadilla M. 7. Ceratto L. 11. Chiquichano O. 6. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 10. Nunez G. 4. Perez F. 2. Piris O. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Alonso C. ⚽,
34', Luduena L. 🟨,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 2 - 0, Mendoza L. ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, Gomez L. ⚽,
72', 3 - 1, Moreyra P. (Own goal),
76', 🟨,
80', Luduena L. 🟥,
81', 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Unidos won 1.
Boca Unidos has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Martín Formosa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
San Martín Formosa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Boca Unidos won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Boca Unidos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).