Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: 17 De Octubre (Formosa)


	General San Martín de Formosa		Costa Brava

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.15	5.5
	1.66	3.39	5.86	Watch
	1.67	3.15	5.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.46)	3.23 ↓ (4)	5.59 ↓ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General San Martín de Formosa
55.4%

Draw
28.3%

Costa Brava
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

22.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.1%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that General San Martín de Formosa's form might have worsened.

Costa Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for General San Martín de Formosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

General San Martín de Formosa - Costa Brava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Humeler K. (G) 3. Amud L. 5. Bobadilla M. (C) 2. Brienzo N. 11. Chiquichano O. 4. Finardi B. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 8. Tapia R. 9. Vega A. 7. Vicedo M.	1. Silva L. (G) 2. Aguero P. 6. Alferez B. 11. Alles A. 3. Garoni J. 9. Gutierrez J. 10. Ibarra L. 5. Lara M. 8. Lopez A. 4. Montero B. 7. Vivani J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Vivani J. 🟨,
18', Riera E. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Noriega B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 1 - 1, Alderete R. P. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Amud L. ⚽,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

San Martín Formosa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Costa Brava has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, San Martín Formosa is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Martín Formosa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.10.25	Costa Brava - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Sol de Mayo	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sol de Mayo - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLLL
- CA Costa Brava
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.10.25	Costa Brava - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Costa Brava - Bartolomé Mitre	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Costa Brava	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo Rincón - Costa Brava	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Costa Brava - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.10.25	Costa Brava - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1

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