Match Info

Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Sol De Mayo (Viedma)


	Sol de Mayo		General San Martín de Formosa

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.87	2.6
	3.05	2.79	2.58	Watch
	2.66	2.92	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (4.05)	2.86 ↓ (3.3)	2.58 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sol de Mayo
32.9%

Draw
31.8%

General San Martín de Formosa
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27.8%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

26.5%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sol de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sol de Mayo's performance.

General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and General San Martín de Formosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sol de Mayo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that General San Martín de Formosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sol de Mayo - General San Martín de Formosa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - San Martín Formosa (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Martín Formosa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nadal J. (G) 11. Barry S. 3. Martinez C. J. 10. Martinez M. 9. Mazzola N. 4. Miguez L. 5. Quilen L. 8. Reyes A. 6. Rios R. 2. Scolari J. 7. Valdebenito F.	1. Humeler K. (G) 4. Alderete R. P. 5. Bobadilla M. 2. Brienzo N. 11. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R. 7. Vicedo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 🟨,
24', 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Nunez G. (Pen),
31', 1 - 1, Scolari J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, ⚽,
55', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
76', 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

San Martín Formosa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

San Martín Formosa might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Sol de Mayo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.09.25	Sol de Mayo - San Martín de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Círculo Deportivo - Sol de Mayo	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	Sol de Mayo - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Germinal - Sol de Mayo	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Santamarina de Tandil - Sol de Mayo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWWL
- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.09.25	Ciudad de Bolívar - General San Martín de Formosa	4:1 ✺
21.09.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	General San Martín de Formosa - 9 de Julio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW

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