Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 35

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	General San Martín de Formosa		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	1.37	3.9	8
	1.47	3.6	7	Watch
	1.37	3.91	8.81
	1.33	3.9	10
	1.4	3.7	8.5
	1.36	3.8	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.94)	3.8 ↑ (2.84)	8.42 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General San Martín de Formosa
65.4%

Draw
23.8%

Gimnasia y Tiro
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

32%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

33.6%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in General San Martín de Formosa's performance.

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnasia y Tiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with General San Martín de Formosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnasia y Tiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: General San Martín de Formosa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Martín de Formosa won 2.

Recent matches San Martín de Formosa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gimnasia y Tiro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gimnasia y Tiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match San Martín de Formosa is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches San Martín de Formosa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín de Formosa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.10.23	Sarmiento de Resistencia - General San Martín de Formosa	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	9 de Julio - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1 ✺
13.09.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Boca Unidos - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWL
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.10.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Sol de América de Formosa - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - Boca Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.08.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - General San Martín de Formosa	3:0
23.06.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1
30.04.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1
06.08.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Tiro	4:0
30.04.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - General San Martín de Formosa	0:2
03.04.19	General San Martín de Formosa - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:2
13.03.19	Gimnasia y Tiro - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1

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