The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
General San Martín de Formosa 67.1%
Draw 22.4%
Tucuman Central 10.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.1%
23.4%
10.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.3%
22.3%
9.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Tucuman Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucuman Central than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
General San Martín de Formosa - Tucuman Central Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Humeler K. (G)
5. Bobadilla M.
11. Chiquichano O.
3. Griego A.
7. Ledesma R.
6. Leiva D.
10. Nunez G.
4. Perez F.
2. Piris O.
9. Siergiejuk M.
8. Tapia R.
Substitutes
15. Alegre G.
19. Aquino A.
. Ceratto L.
. Finardi B.
17. Lopez A.
16. Lucero A.
12. Morichi P. (G)
18. Peralta B.
14. Suarez I.
Coaches
. Rubino M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Sanchez L. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Collante B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 🟨,
59', Moyano R. D. 🟥,
60', 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Nunez G. (Penalty Awarded),
66', 2 - 1, Siergiejuk M. ⚽,
72', 🟨,
72', 2 - 2, Barrera F. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
86', 3 - 2, Tapia R. ⚽,
86', Estrada F. 🟥,
88', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
San Martín Formosa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tucuman Central has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
San Martín Formosa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, San Martín Formosa is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that San Martín Formosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Martín Formosa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.