Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 10

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports, LPF Play


	Juventud Antoniana		Sarmiento de Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.45	5.7
	1.54	3.45	5.8
	1.60	3.44	6.46	Watch
	1.57	3.25	6
	1.53	3.44	6.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)	3.41 ↓ (3.88)	6.06 ↓ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud Antoniana
58.3%

Draw
26.7%

Sarmiento de Resistencia
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

23.9%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

22.8%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud Antoniana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventud Antoniana's form might have worsened.

Sarmiento de Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Antoniana than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventud Antoniana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Juventud Antoniana will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Mune P. ⚽,
21', Fernandez F. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Palacios J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud Antoniana won 4.

Juventud Antoniana has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sarmiento has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Juventud Antoniana is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Juventud Antoniana won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventud Antoniana won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud Antoniana
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Juventud Antoniana - Boca Unidos	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Tucuman Central - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Juventud Antoniana - General San Martín de Formosa	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Juventud Antoniana	0:1 ✺
17.04.26	Juventud Antoniana - Bartolomé Mitre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLWL
- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.03.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Juventud Antoniana	1:3
20.06.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Juventud Antoniana	2:1
18.04.25	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:0
25.08.24	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0
02.06.24	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0
07.04.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Juventud Antoniana	0:0
29.10.23	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:0

Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de Resistencia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide