Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 10

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Defensores de Vilelas		General San Martín de Formosa

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.92	2.48
	2.88	3.57	2.11
	2.67	3.01	2.76	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.63
	2.58	2.88	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.01)	3.03 ↑ (2.85)	2.53 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Vilelas
33.7%

Draw
30.2%

General San Martín de Formosa
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

31.8%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

32.1%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Vilelas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Defensores de Vilelas - General San Martín de Formosa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.47) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma L. (G) 7. Acevedo M. 2. Berlo B. 8. Canete G. 6. Farias F. 4. Fernandez F. 3. Molina N. 11. Montenegro R. 10. Niz L. 5. Remotti L. 9. Rios G.	1. Humeler K. (G) 5. Bobadilla M. 11. Chiquichano O. 3. Griego A. 7. Ledesma R. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 4. Perez F. 2. Piris O. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Perez F. 🟨,
28', Berlo B. 🟨,
32', Leiva D. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Rios G. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 1 - 1, Nunez G. ⚽,
51', Fernandez F. 🟨,
52', Ledesma R. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Chiquichano O. ⚽,
68', 1 - 3, Siergiejuk M. ⚽,
79', Nunez G. 🟨,
89', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ))

Recent form of Def de Vilelas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Martín Formosa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

San Martín Formosa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Def de Vilelas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Vilelas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.05.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Bartolomé Mitre	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Defensores de Vilelas	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Juventud Antoniana	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Defensores de Vilelas	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLLT
- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.26	Bartolomé Mitre - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	4:2 ✺
03.05.26	Juventud Antoniana - General San Martín de Formosa	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.03.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Defensores de Vilelas	2:1

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