Match Info

Date: 3 August 2021, Tuesday


	Genk		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.95	Watch
	2.3	3.55	3
	2.24	3.4	2.95
	2.37	3.51	3.07
	2.25	3.25	2.9
	2.35	3.5	2.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (3.14)	3.46 ↑ (3.24)	2.97 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Genk
41.1%

Draw
27.2%

Shakhtar Donetsk
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.9%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

21.3%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genk's performance.

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shakhtar Donetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+24.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shakhtar Donetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.7%	17.8%	67.4%

Genk - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 129 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 19 - 14.7%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 87 - 67.4%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 17.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 59.3% – 75.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

1st leg.

Genk is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Shakhtar is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.07.21	Genk - Oostende	3:4 ✺
23.07.21	Standard Liège - Genk	1:1 ✺
Belgian Super Cup
17.07.21	Club Brugge - Genk	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.21	Genk - AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
10.07.21	Genk - Groningen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTT
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
30.07.21	Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
24.07.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Inhulets	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.21	Schalke 04 - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
05.07.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Türkgücü München	2:1 ✺
04.07.21	Raków Częstochowa - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWTWL

Upcoming Matches