Match Info

Serie A - Round 3

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, Arena Sport 8
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Genoa		Como

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.50	1.67
	5.00	3.60	1.71
	5.60	3.55	1.64	Watch
	5.96	3.67	1.71
	5.57	3.54	1.71	Watch
	5.90	3.60	1.66
	5.94	3.72	1.73
	5.60	3.75	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.67 ↑ (5.39)	3.62 ↑ (3.24)	1.69 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
16.9%

Draw
26.5%

Como
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

29.3%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

28.7%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.9%	11.5%	83.6%

Genoa - Como Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Como (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Como (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Como will win (51 of 61 users predict this - 83.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.32% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Como will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Como (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bijlow J. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 5. Ostigard L. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 20. Sabelli S. 97. Sow D. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 8. Baldanzi T. 32. Frendrup M. 29. Colombo L. 18. Osmajic M.	1. Butez J. (G) 27. Couto Y. 4. Ramon J. 99. Chalobah T. 3. Valle A. 5. Perrone M. 7. Da Cunha L. (C) 11. Diao A. 10. Paz N. 20. Baturina M. 9. Douvikas A.
Substitutes
4. Amorim 74. Doucoure M. 3. Ehizibue K. 92. El Shaarawy S. 10. Junior Messias 11. Meichtry F. 2. Mitaj M. 34. Otoa S. 31. Puczka D. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 99. Stolz F. (G) 25. Traore H. J. 9. Vitinha 71. Wiafe S.	8. Caqueret M. 13. Dossena A. 18. Goldaniga E. 16. Kaiki 53. Kambwala W. 90. Kean M. 2. Kempf M. O. 15. Lahdo A. 30. Liberali M. 6. Milla L. 14. Ricci S. 17. Rodriguez J. 97. Sanchez R. (G) 28. Smolcic I. 22. Vigorito M. (G)
Coaches
De Rossi D.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
19', 1 - 0, Osmajic M. ⚽, Colombo L. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Baturina M. ⚽, Valle A. (A),
30', 1 - 2, Diao A. ⚽,
36', Sow D. 🟨,
40', 1 - 3, Paz N. ⚽, Couto Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sabelli S. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
60', Baturina M. 🟨,
62', Ostigard L. 🟨,
66', Baturina M. ↓, Caqueret M. ↑,
66', Baldanzi T. ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
66', Douvikas A. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
67', Colombo L. ↓, Ehizibue K. ↑,
75', Sow D. ↓, Amorim ↑,
78', 1 - 4, Diao A. ⚽, Kean M. (A),
80', Da Cunha L. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
80', Paz N. ↓, Milla L. ↑,
81', Marcandalli A. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑,
84', Diao A. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Como has had a series of away games.

In this match, Como is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Genoa: Venturino L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Como: Addai J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Como: Kean M. (Transfer negotiations)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Como: 6.53% Genoa: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	3	10
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3:10	-7	1

Last Results with these Odds

Genoa - the odds 5.39 are the expected chance of winning is 17.62%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Como - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 53.06%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
30.08.26	Lazio - Genoa	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Genoa - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.26	Genoa - Ascoli	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Bournemouth - Genoa	10:1 ✺
01.08.26	Leicester City - Genoa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLW
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
30.08.26	Napoli - Como	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Udinese - Como	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Liverpool - Como	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Liverpool - Como	0:0 ✺
12.08.26	Arsenal - Como	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
26.04.26	Genoa - Como	0:2
15.09.25	Como - Genoa	1:1
27.04.25	Como - Genoa	1:0
07.11.24	Genoa - Como	1:1
Italian Serie B
10.04.23	Como - Genoa	2:2
13.11.22	Genoa - Como	1:1

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