The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Genoa 26.1%
Draw 26.9%
Napoli 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.6%
25.8%
47.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
25.1%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Genoa - Napoli Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Napoli (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Napoli (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Forcinella C. (G) 15. Di Criscio F. 2. Lipman E. 20. Giles H. 17. Acuti A. (C) 10. Cinotti N. 19. Hilaj A. 45. Massa A. 23. Vigilucci V. 27. Monterubbiano V. 13. Bahr E.
1. Beretta B. (G) 22. Doucoure M. 16. Jusjong M. 2. Brooks C. 67. Giordano M. 17. Carcassi A. 13. Muth N. 23. Bellucci M. (C) 7. Barker H. M. 11. Floe C. 25. Vanmechelen D.
Substitutes
5. Abate G. 22. Bargi C. 4. Bettalli G. 16. Curraj A. 8. Cuschieri R. 14. Ferrara A. 30. Giacobbo G. 33. Korenciova M. (G) 74. Lucafo S. 1. Marchetti L. (G) 44. Mele C. 9. Sondengaard A.
42. Bacic D. (G) 24. D'Angelo A. 30. Hornschuch S. (G) 8. Kozak K. 90. Langella G. 21. Penzo T. 44. Pettenuzzo T. 19. Sciabica M. 20. Troan M. 32. Vergani B. 72. Vischi F.
Coaches
De La Fuente S.
Sassarini D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Cinotti N. (Pen),
30', Muth N. 🟨,
40', Carcassi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Carcassi A. ↓, Sciabica M. ↑,
46', Muth N. ↓, Langella G. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Floe C. ⚽, Vanmechelen D. (A),
51', 1 - 2, Barker H. M. ⚽, Giordano M. (A),
67', Cinotti N. ↓, Cuschieri R. ↑,
67', Massa A. ↓, Sondengaard A. ↑,
76', Sondengaard A. 🟨,
78', Vanmechelen D. ↓, Troan M. ↑,
78', Doucoure M. ↓, Pettenuzzo T. ↑,
80', Lipman E. ↓, Bargi C. ↑,
80', Bahr E. ↓, Giacobbo G. ↑,
83', Barker H. M. ↓, Kozak K. ↑,
87', Giles H. ↓, Curraj A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Troan M. ⚽, Bellucci M. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 5).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Napoli could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Genoa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.