Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen)

Referee: Put B. (Bel)


	KV Mechelen		Eupen

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.33	Watch
	1.72	4.1	4.35
	1.72	4.23	4.57
	1.71	4.15	4.33	Watch
	1.72	4.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)	4.14 ↑ (3.4)	4.4 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
55.4%

Draw
23%

Eupen
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.3%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

26.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KV Mechelen's performance.

Eupen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KV Mechelen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

KV Mechelen - Eupen Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Eupen will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Coucke G. (G) 5. Walsh S. 30. Vanlerberghe J. 27. Bates D. 23. Foulon D. 16. Schoofs R. 8. Konate M. 7. Hairemans G. 19. Mrabti K. 11. Storm N. 20. Lauberbach L.	24. Slonina G. (G) 28. Paeshuyse R. 4. Palsson V. 3. Davidson J. 15. Magnee G. 6. Baiye B. 35. Lambert B. 19. Pantovic M. 2. Van Genechten Y. 7. Nuhu I. 27. Finnbogason A.
Substitutes
17. Belghali R. 10. Malede Y. 34. Mukau N. 77. Pflucke P. 4. Raemaekers T. 15. Thoelen Y. (G) 6. Van Hecke J.	29. Alloh T. 10. Charles-Cook R. 23. Christie-Davies I. 14. Deom J. 25. Filin A. 21. Kral J. 33. Nurudeen A. (G)
Coaches
Defour S.	Kohfeldt F.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 1.

Recent matches Mechelen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eupen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Mechelen is a favorite.

There will not play in Mechelen: Bolingoli B. (Injury) Falchou R. (Surgery) Van den Eynden B. (Injury)

There will not play in Eupen: Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Mohwald K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Eupen: Bitumazala N. (Muscle Injury) Gorenc J. (Ankle Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Mechelen won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.08.23	Westerlo - KV Mechelen	2:3 ✺
19.08.23	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	4:0 ✺
12.08.23	RWDM Brussels - KV Mechelen	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	KV Mechelen - Gent	0:1 ✺
30.07.23	Club Brugge - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWLLT
- KAS Eupen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.08.23	Eupen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1 ✺
20.08.23	Kortrijk - Eupen	1:3 ✺
13.08.23	Eupen - Club Brugge	0:5 ✺
05.08.23	Genk - Eupen	0:1 ✺
29.07.23	Eupen - Westerlo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.02.23	Eupen - KV Mechelen	2:1
22.10.22	KV Mechelen - Eupen	2:1
19.03.22	Eupen - KV Mechelen	1:1
Belgian Cup
22.12.21	KV Mechelen - Eupen	1:3
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.08.21	KV Mechelen - Eupen	1:3
23.01.21	KV Mechelen - Eupen	3:0
03.12.20	Eupen - KV Mechelen	1:1

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