Match Info

Belgian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	13:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4


	KV Mechelen		Eupen

	1	X	2
	1.60	4.00	4.10
	1.68	3.75	4.00
	1.63	4.30	4.50	Watch
	1.71	4.00	4.25
	1.71	3.98	4.01
	1.69	3.80	4.15
	1.68	4.18	4.29	Watch
	1.67	3.90	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)	3.99 ↓ (4.05)	4.18 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
55%

Draw
23%

Eupen
22%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.1%

22.4%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

22.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Eupen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for KV Mechelen aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+1%)

KV Mechelen - Eupen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Wolf O. (G) 35. Antonio B. 20. Corbanie K. 30. Decherf M. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 6. Hammar F. 7. Koudou T. 19. Lohunanu-Mbasi M. 3. Marsa J. 14. Raman B. 9. van Brederode M.	24. Lejoly A. (G) 22. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 70. Fixelles M. 5. Gavory N. 18. Keita A. 10. Nadje C. 7. Nuhu I. 28. Paeshuyse R. 32. Plastun I. 11. Simakala B. 2. Van Genechten Y.
Substitutes
11. Bafdili B. 39. Decoene M. 4. Diouf G. 10. Kireev M. 2. Marijnissen L. 13. Miras N. (G) 21. Ozdemir H. 26. Praet D. 17. Van Meirvenne C.	19. Caliskan B. 98. Kikas . Malu M. 47. Marechal T. 27. Muller M. 3. Precious M. 44. Renner J. (G) 9. Sulejmani A. 17. Vidigal S. 13. Youndje L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Plastun I. ⚽,
19', Paeshuyse R. 🟨,
22', Eerdhuijzen M. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Koudou T. ⚽,
31', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
36', 2 - 1, Decherf M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 3 - 1, ⚽,
48', 🟨,
49', 4 - 1, ⚽,
60', 🟨,
64', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 3.

Mechelen is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Eupen is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Eupen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Mechelen has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this matchup, Mechelen is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Mechelen has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:16 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mechelen against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 11:8 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.10.26	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	KV Mechelen - Karpaty Lviv	2:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.09.26	Lommel - KV Mechelen	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	KV Mechelen - Westerlo	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTLL
- KAS Eupen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
09.10.26	Anderlecht U23 - Eupen	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Eupen - Alemannia Aachen	3:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
27.09.26	Merelbeke - Eupen	0:1 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
19.09.26	Eupen - RFC Liège	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Eupen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.02.24	Eupen - KV Mechelen	0:1
02.09.23	KV Mechelen - Eupen	1:0
10.02.23	Eupen - KV Mechelen	2:1
22.10.22	KV Mechelen - Eupen	2:1
19.03.22	Eupen - KV Mechelen	1:1
Belgian Cup
22.12.21	KV Mechelen - Eupen	1:3
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.08.21	KV Mechelen - Eupen	1:3

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