Match Info

1. Lig - Round 37

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Eryaman Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Kucuk Z. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Gençlerbirliği		Sakaryaspor

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.34	4.5	7
	1.3	5	8.5
	1.32	5.12	9.52
	1.33	4.86	9.33	Watch
	1.36	4.4	8
	1.32	4.75	8.7
	1.3	5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.47)	4.8 ↑ (4.36)	8.38 ↑ (6.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gençlerbirliği
69.7%

Draw
19.3%

Sakaryaspor
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.5%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20.6%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gençlerbirliği has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gençlerbirliği's performance.

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gençlerbirliği than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Gençlerbirliği - Sakaryaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gençlerbirliği will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gençlerbirliği: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gençlerbirliği (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Erenturk E. (G) 24. Babacan A. 90. Osmanoglu S. (C) 15. Zuzek Z. 23. Hanousek M. 5. Etebo P. 89. Amilton 10. Joca 16. Kabak A. 7. Mimaroglu M. 9. Popa D.	29. Szumski J. (G) 22. Erturk M. 33. N'Koulou N. 4. Demirtas K. 5. Uzun B. (C) 36. Altiparmak B. 95. Simon N. 66. Mamadou M. 8. Kabov A. 77. Sismanoglu O. 14. Demir E.
Substitutes
19. Altiparmak G. 12. Berber O. 6. Cagiran B. 25. Islamoglu U. 61. Kemaloglu E. 99. Leo Gaucho 20. Okyar M. 8. Onur S. 13. Ozdemir O. (G) 88. Uzum F.	17. Aksoy E. 7. Altintas E. 34. Cakir B. 94. Coban B. 15. Coban O. 99. Demir A. 93. Tantan Y. (G) 90. Tekogul Y. (G)
Coaches
Eroglu H.	Buz I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Popa D. ⚽, Osmanoglu S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Demirtas K. 🟨,
60', Uzun B. ↓, Aksoy E. ↑,
60', Hanousek M. 🟨,
67', Popa D. ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
67', Joca ↓, Onur S. ↑,
68', Erturk M. ↓, Altintas E. ↑,
69', Demirtas K. ↓, Cakir B. ↑,
69', Sismanoglu O. ↓, Coban B. ↑,
79', Kabak A. ↓, Okyar M. ↑,
90+1', Amilton ↓, Uzum F. ↑,
90+1', Mimaroglu M. ↓, Kemaloglu E. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 14).

Gençlerbirliği is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sakaryaspor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Gençlerbirliği is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Gençlerbirliği: Gureler Y. (Injury) Nalepa M. (Yellow Cards) Sahindere A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Altiparmak B. (Yellow Cards) Capar O. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Gençlerbirliği: Etebo P. (Injury)

We predict that Gençlerbirliği will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gençlerbirliği won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gençlerbirliği
Turkish First League
27.04.25	Adanaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:5 ✺
20.04.25	Gençlerbirliği - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:0 ✺
10.04.25	Gençlerbirliği - Umraniyespor	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Ankaragücü - Gençlerbirliği	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTTWW
- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
27.04.25	Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor	1:0 ✺
21.04.25	Igdirspor - Sakaryaspor	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor	1:0 ✺
09.04.25	Boluspor - Sakaryaspor	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Sakaryaspor - Adanaspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
06.01.25	Sakaryaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:0
21.01.24	Gençlerbirliği - Sakaryaspor	3:1
20.08.23	Sakaryaspor - Gençlerbirliği	0:0
16.05.23	Gençlerbirliği - Sakaryaspor	2:1
17.12.22	Sakaryaspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:1

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