Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 14

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Gerena		Antoniano

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.5	3.5	5
	1.53	3.5	5.4
	1.55	3.44	5.63
	1.52	3.5	6
	1.63	3.5	5
	1.6	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.74)	3.53 ↑ (3.23)	5.29 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerena
57.7%

Draw
25.4%

Antoniano
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

27.5%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gerena's performance.

Antoniano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Gerena - Antoniano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs)).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Antoniano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gerena is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gerena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gerena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.12.22	Cartaya - Gerena	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Gerena - Rota	3:0 ✺
26.11.22	Ceuta B - Gerena	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Gerena - Ayamonte	1:1 ✺
06.11.22	Sevilla C - Gerena	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTTW
- CA Antoniano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
08.12.22	Antoniano - Pozoblanco	2:0 ✺
04.12.22	Xerez CD - Antoniano	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Antoniano - Córdoba B	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Puente Genil - Antoniano	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Antoniano - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
03.04.22	Gerena - Antoniano	3:1
04.12.21	Antoniano - Gerena	0:1
29.09.19	Gerena - Antoniano	0:2

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