The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puente Genil 33.8%
Draw 32.9%
Antoniano 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
30.2%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
31.9%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puente Genil's form might have worsened.
Antoniano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puente Genil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Antoniano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puente Genil - Antoniano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Perez M. ⚽,
55', 2 - 1, Montenegro T. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).
Puente Genil is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Antoniano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puente Genil won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.8:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Puente Genil won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Puente Genil
5
1
1
3
5:5
0
4
18
Antoniano
5
0
2
3
2:7
-5
2
Last Results with these Odds
Antoniano - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.38%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.