Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Gernika		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.57
	5.5	3.6	1.62
	5.68	3.7	1.66
	5.68	3.39	1.67
	5.3	3.42	1.61
	5.4	3.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↑ (4.13)	3.52 ↑ (3)	1.62 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
16.9%

Draw
26.2%

Athletic Bilbao B
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

30%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

29.3%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Bilbao B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gernika - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gernika won 2.

Gernika is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletic Bilbao B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gernika could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Athletic Bilbao B is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gernika won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gernika won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.12.23	UD Logroñés - Gernika	7:1 ✺
03.12.23	Gernika - Brea	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Utebo - Gernika	1:0 ✺
18.11.23	Real Sociedad C - Gernika	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Gernika - Náxara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLT
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.12.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Sociedad C	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	Náxara - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Tudelano	4:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
22.11.23	Everton U21 - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.11.23	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.02.19	Gernika - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1
22.09.18	Athletic Bilbao B - Gernika	3:0
03.02.18	Gernika - Athletic Bilbao B	3:0
16.09.17	Athletic Bilbao B - Gernika	0:0
13.04.17	Athletic Bilbao B - Gernika	2:1
19.11.16	Gernika - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0

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