Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Racing Rioja		Gernika

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.8	2.4
	2.8	2.85	2.6
	3.41	2.69	2.42
	3.18	2.82	2.4
	3	2.9	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.6)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	2.44 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Rioja
30%

Draw
32.5%

Gernika
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

31.2%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

32.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Rioja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Rioja than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Racing Rioja - Gernika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Racing Rioja is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gernika is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Racing Rioja won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing Rioja won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Rioja
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.02.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Racing Rioja	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Racing Rioja - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:1 ✺
22.01.23	Alfaro - Racing Rioja	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Utebo - Racing Rioja	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Racing Rioja - Tarazona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWTTW
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.02.23	Gernika - Arnedo	4:0 ✺
28.01.23	Brea - Gernika	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Gernika - Cirbonero	4:1 ✺
15.01.23	Gernika - Mutilvera	2:1 ✺
07.01.23	San Juan - Gernika	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
25.09.22	Gernika - Racing Rioja	1:2
13.03.22	Gernika - Racing Rioja	5:2
24.10.21	Racing Rioja - Gernika	4:3

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