Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Gernika		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3
	2.2	2.85	3.3
	2.27	2.9	3.42
	2.19	3.05	3.32
	2.22	3.05	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.12)	2.97 ↑ (2.7)	3.23 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
41.2%

Draw
30.6%

Tarazona
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

33.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

34.9%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tarazona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gernika - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Gernika is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tarazona is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gernika will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gernika won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.03.23	Izarra - Gernika	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Gernika - Tudelano	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Sestao - Gernika	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Gernika - Real Sociedad C	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Racing Rioja - Gernika	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWT
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.03.23	Tarazona - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Tarazona - Alfaro	6:1 ✺
18.02.23	Utebo - Tarazona	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Beasain - Tarazona	1:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
30.10.22	Tarazona - Gernika	1:1

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