Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 27

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni (Ospitaletto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Ospitaletto		Inter U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3	2.25
	3	3.1	2.28	Watch
	3.17	3.11	2.34
	3.06	3.15	2.26	Watch
	3	2.8	2.25
	3.09	2.99	2.26	Watch
	3.1	3	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.68)	3.02 ↓ (3.07)	2.29 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
30%

Draw
30.2%

Inter U23
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

30%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

30.1%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Inter U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter U23 than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Ospitaletto - Inter U23 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Sonzogni L. (G) 16. Gualandris M. 4. Nessi R. 6. Possenti M. 77. Casali M. 43. Guarneri M. 10. Ievoli M. 28. Panatti M. 7. Messaggi C. 9. Gobbi F. 99. Bertoli M.	91. Calligaris A. (G) 46. Cinquegrano S. 19. Prestia G. 5. Alexiou C. 10. Kamate I. 14. Bovo L. 8. Fiordilino L. 44. Berenbruch T. 3. Cocchi M. 20. La Gumina A. 90. Lavelli M.
Substitutes
75. Cortese S. (G) 79. De Matteis G. 23. Maffioletti L. 20. Maucci G. 26. Mondini G. 55. Mundi R. (G) 11. Pavanello A. 2. Regazzetti S. 8. Scheffer M. 33. Sina S. 13. Sinn L. 19. Tornaghi P. 21. Torri A.	11. Agbonifo R. 77. Amerighi I. 25. David A. 34. Iddrissou J. 37. Kaczmarski I. 1. Melgrati R. (G) 30. Mosconi M. 12. Raimondi P. (G) 15. Stante F. 9. Topalovic L. 4. Zanchetta M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, La Gumina A. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Messaggi C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fiordilino L. ↓, Kaczmarski I. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Kamate I. ⚽,
57', Kaczmarski I. 🟨,
63', Prestia G. 🟨,
68', Casali M. ↓, Sinn L. ↑,
68', Guarneri M. ↓, Maucci G. ↑,
71', Bovo L. ↓, Topalovic L. ↑,
74', Gobbi F. ↓, Torri A. ↑,
80', Lavelli M. ↓, Agbonifo R. ↑,
83', Ievoli M. ↓, Mondini G. ↑,
83', Messaggi C. ↓, Regazzetti S. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Torri A. ⚽,
90', La Gumina A. ↓, Iddrissou J. ↑,
90', Berenbruch T. ↓, Zanchetta M. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Inter U23 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ospitaletto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Ospitaletto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	14:6	8	15

Last Results with these Odds

Ospitaletto - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.3%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
11.02.26	Alcione - Ospitaletto	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Ospitaletto - Renate	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Ospitaletto - Lumezzane	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Pergolettese - Ospitaletto	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ospitaletto - Triestina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLLW
- Inter Milan U23
Italian Serie C Group A
11.02.26	Inter U23 - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Triestina - Inter U23	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Inter U23 - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Lecco - Inter U23	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Inter U23 - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
30.10.25	Ospitaletto - Inter U23	1:2
Italian Serie C Group A
05.10.25	Inter U23 - Ospitaletto	2:2

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