Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Carlo Speroni (Busto Arsizio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Pro Patria		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.05	2.62
	2.7	3.05	2.63
	2.11	3.35	3.29	Watch
	2.57	2.97	2.61	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.1)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	2.88 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
38.2%

Draw
29.6%

Ospitaletto
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.8%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

28.7%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Patria's form might have worsened.

Ospitaletto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Pro Patria - Ospitaletto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rovida W. (G) 4. Reggiori P. 26. Masi A. 39. Motolese M. 14. Citterio G. 25. Ferri D. 80. Bagatti N. 8. Schiavone A. 93. Dimarco C. 10. Mastroianni F. 9. Udoh K.	12. Sonzogni L. (G) 2. Regazzetti S. 33. Sina S. 6. Possenti M. 4. Nessi R. 16. Gualandris M. 17. Tunjov G. 28. Panatti M. 43. Guarneri M. 99. Bertoli M. 9. Gobbi F.
Substitutes
13. Aliata T. 15. Auci A. 30. Ferrario L. 18. Galantatucci C. 56. Ganz S. 12. Gnonto R. (G) 11. Renelus B. 21. Ricordi T. 19. Travaglini C. 6. Viti M. 22. Zamarian M. (G)	22. Bevilacqua A. (G) 77. Casali M. 24. Diop S. 10. Ievoli M. 98. Nagrudnyi V. 70. Orlandi A. 11. Pavanello A. 74. Pollio D. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 13. Sinn L. 21. Torri A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Motolese M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Schiavone A. ↓, Auci A. ↑,
67', Bertoli M. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
67', Tunjov G. ↓, Orlandi A. ↑,
75', Citterio G. ↓, Travaglini C. ↑,
75', Udoh K. ↓, Renelus B. ↑,
81', Masi A. ↓, Galantatucci C. ↑,
90', Guarneri M. ↓, Ievoli M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ospitaletto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
19.10.25	Virtus Verona - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Pro Patria - Brescia	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Pro Patria - Trento	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Cittadella - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTTL
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie C Group A
18.10.25	Ospitaletto - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Ospitaletto - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Inter U23 - Ospitaletto	2:2 ✺
29.09.25	Ospitaletto - Alcione	0:1 ✺
25.09.25	Renate - Ospitaletto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWTLW

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