The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pergolettese 37.8%
Draw 30.9%
Giana Erminio 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
30.9%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
29.3%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pergolettese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Pergolettese - Giana Erminio Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Pergolettese will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Doldi F. (G) 26. Bane A. 4. Arini M. 72. Padalino A. 77. Pessolani G. 6. Dore S. 32. Di Gesu E. 20. Tremolada M. 7. Tomaselli G. 10. Ferrandino D. 9. Parker S.
22. Mazza A. (G) 27. Alborghetti M. 6. Ferri L. 13. Colombara M. 19. Duca T. 10. Lamesta A. 14. Marotta M. 20. Renda F. 24. Ruffini L. 11. Capelli A. 97. Gabbiani G.
Substitutes
3. Antolini J. 13. Benvenuto M. 21. Careccia S. 1. Cordaro L. (G) 11. Corti N. 80. Jaouhari Z. 40. Lavezzi F. 19. Pala A. 30. Pepa N. 76. Roversi L.
9. Akammadu F. 33. Albertini A. 32. Azzolari E. 12. Magni S. (G) 8. Nelli J. 3. Nucifero T. 4. Piazza A. 7. Pinto D. 16. Rizzo A. 90. Vitale V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Capelli A. 🟨,
23', Tremolada M. 🟨,
32', Tremolada M. 🟨,
44', Ferrandino D. ↓, Careccia S. ↑,
45+3', 0 - 1, Alborghetti M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Duca T. ↓, Albertini A. ↑,
46', Capelli A. ↓, Akammadu F. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Gabbiani G. ⚽,
61', 0 - 3, Ruffini L. ⚽,
63', Tomaselli G. ↓, Corti N. ↑,
63', Pessolani G. ↓, Antolini J. ↑,
68', Marotta M. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
68', Renda F. ↓, Vitale V. ↑,
77', Parker S. 🟥,
78', Padalino A. ↓, Roversi L. ↑,
78', Di Gesu E. ↓, Jaouhari Z. ↑,
78', Gabbiani G. ↓, Rizzo A. ↑,
87', Vitale V. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 2.
Pergolettese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Giana Erminio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pergolettese won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.7:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Pergolettese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Giana Erminio - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 28.08%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.