Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 23

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Giana Erminio		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3	3	Watch
	2.33	3.05	3.28
	2.31	2.97	3.16	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3
	2.27	2.89	3.17	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.23)	2.93 ↓ (3.19)	3.16 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
39.8%

Draw
31.3%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

29.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Giana Erminio - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mazza A. (G) 13. Colombara M. 6. Ferri L. 19. Duca T. 26. Previtali N. 20. Renda F. 14. Marotta M. 7. Pinto D. 24. Ruffini L. 11. Galeandro A. 29. Samele L.	22. Manfrin F. (G) 26. Boccia S. 57. Milillo A. (C) 19. Toniolo F. 13. Cariolato F. 4. Chiarello R. 17. Castegnaro L. 16. Moretti M. 23. Bernardi E. 10. Minesso M. 32. Nanni N.
Substitutes
32. Azzolari E. 5. Berretta A. 18. Cannistra P. 97. Gabbiani G. 37. Lischetti L. 8. Nelli J. 3. Nucifero T. 23. Occhipinti E. 16. Rizzo A. 1. Zenti A. (G)	1. Bertini T. (G) 8. Damiani M. 47. Jamali N. 7. Lanzi E. 12. Lotto R. (G) 9. Mattioli A. 14. Ntumba J. 44. Valentini F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Bernardi E. ⚽,
34', Moretti M. 🟨,
44', Renda F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Colombara M. ↓, Nucifero T. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Ruffini L. ⚽,
65', Pinto D. ↓, Berretta A. ↑,
71', Minesso M. ↓, Mattioli A. ↑,
71', Samele L. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
76', Chiarello R. 🟨,
84', Chiarello R. ↓, Damiani M. ↑,
85', Ruffini L. ↓, Cannistra P. ↑,
85', Duca T. ↓, Rizzo A. ↑,
90+2', Nanni N. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
90+2', Cariolato F. ↓, Valentini F. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Lischetti L. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

ArzignanoChiampo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Giana Erminio might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Giana Erminio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Arzignano	11	6	2	3	16:11	5	20
15	Giana Erminio	11	2	5	4	12:14	-2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Giana Erminio - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Union ArzignanoChiampo - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.88%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
17.01.26	Pro Patria - Giana Erminio	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Giana Erminio - Renate	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Trento - Giana Erminio	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Giana Erminio - Cittadella	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Inter U23 - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLW
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
18.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Virtus Verona - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Brescia	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Pro Vercelli - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:5 ✺
14.12.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
12.09.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Giana Erminio	0:0
16.03.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Giana Erminio	1:0
02.11.24	Giana Erminio - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1
10.02.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Giana Erminio	3:0
30.09.23	Giana Erminio - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1

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