Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 19

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Giana Erminio		Cittadella

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.98	2.82	2.48
	2.81	2.8	2.82
	2.93	2.67	2.69	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.25
	3.12	3.02	2.39	Watch
	3.33	2.62	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.68)	2.78 ↓ (3.45)	2.52 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
30.3%

Draw
33.2%

Cittadella
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.7%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

25.4%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giana Erminio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Giana Erminio - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Giana Erminio will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mazza A. (G) 13. Colombara M. 6. Ferri L. 97. Gabbiani G. 10. Lamesta A. 14. Marotta M. 23. Occhipinti E. 26. Previtali N. 20. Renda F. 24. Ruffini L. 90. Vitale V.	69. Zanellati A. (G) 8. Amatucci F. 10. Casolari F. 25. Cecchetto A. 14. Crialese C. 19. D'Alessio F. 91. Falcinelli D. 21. Rabbi S. 55. Redolfi A. 2. Salvi A. 16. Vita A. (C)
Substitutes
32. Azzolari E. 5. Berretta A. 11. Capelli A. 19. Duca T. 37. Lischetti L. 8. Nelli J. 3. Nucifero T. 4. Piazza A. 7. Pinto D. 16. Rizzo A. 1. Zenti A. (G)	7. Anastasia E. 90. Bunino C. 11. Desogus J. 30. De Zen R. 9. Diaw D. 6. Djibril A. 23. Egharevba D. 17. Gaddini M. 44. Gatti R. 77. Ignatov E. 1. Maniero L. (G) 18. Pavan N. 28. Rizza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Zanellati A. ↓, Maniero L. ↑,
45+2', Falcinelli D. 🟨,
45+3', Casolari F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Colombara M. 🟨,
63', Gabbiani G. ↓, Nelli J. ↑,
63', Occhipinti E. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Cecchetto A. ⚽,
75', Vitale V. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
79', Marotta M. ↓, Rizzo A. ↑,
80', Ferri L. ↓, Piazza A. ↑,
80', Rabbi S. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
80', Falcinelli D. ↓, Bunino C. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Amatucci F. ⚽,
83', Diaw D. 🟨,
86', Casolari F. ↓, Anastasia E. ↑,
86', Vita A. ↓, Pavan N. ↑,
90', Bunino C. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

Giana Erminio is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cittadella has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Giana Erminio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Giana Erminio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
14.12.25	Inter U23 - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
08.12.25	Giana Erminio - Triestina	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Giana Erminio - Ospitaletto	1:0 ✺
17.11.25	Pergolettese - Giana Erminio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWTWW
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie C Group A
14.12.25	Cittadella - Novara	2:2 ✺
05.12.25	Trento - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
01.12.25	Cittadella - Brescia	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Lecco - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Cittadella - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.16	Giana Erminio - Cittadella	0:1
18.10.15	Cittadella - Giana Erminio	1:0

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