Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 6

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport MIX


	Giana Erminio		Virtus Verona

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.95	3.15	3.75
	1.97	3.24	4.02
	2.09	3.09	3.65	Watch
	1.92	3.13	3.88	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.98)	3.2 ↓ (3.4)	3.71 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
46.3%

Draw
28.8%

Virtus Verona
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

26.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

24.8%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mazza A. (G) 26. Previtali M. 4. Piazza A. 27. Alborghetti M. 33. Albertini A. 90. Vitale V. 10. Lamesta A. 7. Pinto D. 24. Ruffini L. 97. Gabbiani G. 11. Capelli A.	22. Sibi S. (G) 45. Bassi M. 23. Toffanin F. 6. Daffara M. 28. Patane N. 21. Muhameti E. 5. Fanini F. 10. Zarpellon L. 29. Saiani F. 39. Mancini T. 99. Fabbro M.
Substitutes
9. Akammadu F. 13. Colombara M. 19. Duca T. 37. Lischetti L. 12. Magni S. (G) 14. Marotta M. 8. Nelli J. 3. Nucifero T. 23. Occhipinti E. 20. Renda F. 1. Zenti A. (G)	7. Amadio M. 80. Bulevardi D. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 25. Filippi N. 20. Fiorin G. 30. Gatti C. 4. Lodovici R. 95. Munaretti L. 90. Odogwu C. 44. Pagliuca M. 1. Peroni R. (G) 12. Scardigno N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 1 - 0, Capelli A. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Toffanin F. ⚽,
28', Piazza A. ↓, Colombara M. ↑,
33', Vitale V. 🟨,
43', Zarpellon L. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Patane N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vitale V. ↓, Renda F. ↑,
53', Capelli A. 🟨,
54', Ruffini L. ↓, Nucifero T. ↑,
54', Capelli A. ↓, Akammadu F. ↑,
56', Zarpellon L. ↓, Gatti C. ↑,
59', Muhameti E. 🟨,
68', Mancini T. 🟨,
69', Muhameti E. ↓, Bulevardi D. ↑,
69', Mancini T. ↓, Odogwu C. ↑,
74', Saiani F. 🟨,
80', Fabbro M. ↓, Amadio M. ↑,
80', Saiani F. ↓, Munaretti L. ↑,
84', Albertini A. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Bulevardi D. ⚽,
90+5', Bulevardi D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Virtus Verona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Giana Erminio is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Giana Erminio won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.25	Brescia - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Giana Erminio - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Renate - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Giana Erminio - Trento	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWTL
- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.25	Virtus Verona - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	Virtus Verona - Inter U23	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Pro Vercelli - Virtus Verona	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Virtus Verona	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Virtus Verona - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	1:0
18.04.25	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	1:1
07.12.24	Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio	1:1
16.03.24	Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio	0:0
11.11.23	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	4:0
20.02.22	Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio	1:1
17.10.21	Giana Erminio - Virtus Verona	1:1

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