Match Info

J3 League - Round 25

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field (Gifu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gifu		Ryūkyū

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	1.8	3.5	3.7
	1.87	3.8	4.01
	1.78	3.60	4.22	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.85	3.49	4.12	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.46)	3.47 ↑ (3.01)	3.82 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gifu
49.3%

Draw
26.6%

Ryūkyū
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gifu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gifu's performance.

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ryūkyū might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gifu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryūkyū could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Gifu - Ryūkyū Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gifu will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Ryūkyū will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gifu (votes: 2 - 40%). Ryūkyū (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mogi S. (G) 55. Toyama R. 20. Kato S. 3. Nozawa R. 22. Mun In-Ju 16. Nishitani R. 23. Hagino K. 28. Hakozaki T. 39. Izumisawa J. 29. Kawamoto R. 9. Dudu	16. Sato H. (G) 3. Kikuchi S. 14. Suzuki J. 28. Tsuha J. 15. Araki R. 18. Hiramatsu S. 13. Iwamoto S. 20. Nagai S. 23. Sota K. 10. Tomidokoro Y. 89. Takagi D.
Substitutes
5. Ishida R. 4. Kai K. 10. Kita R. 19. Matsumoto A. 25. Moussiti-Oko B. 7. Nakamura J. 31. Serantes J. (G) 18. Yamaya Y. 27. Yokoyama T.	9. Asakawa H. 37. Gotoda K. 39. Ihara A. 11. Ishiura T. 8. Iwabuchi R. 50. Kawashima K. (G) 55. Koki Y. 7. Motegi S. 22. Yamato Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Dudu (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dudu ↓, Yamaya Y. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Izumisawa J. ⚽, Yamaya Y. (A),
57', Iwamoto S. ↓, Koki Y. ↑,
65', Sota K. ↓, Ishiura T. ↑,
65', Takagi D. ↓, Asakawa H. ↑,
70', Hakozaki T. 🟨,
76', Izumisawa J. ↓, Yokoyama T. ↑,
76', Hakozaki T. ↓, Oiji Y. ↑,
79', Tomidokoro Y. ↓, Iwabuchi R. ↑,
79', Nagai S. ↓, Motegi S. ↑,
82', Kita R. 🟨,
83', Kawamoto R. ↓, Moussiti-Oko B. ↑,
90+1', Nishitani R. ↓, Kai K. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone J3 League (Relegation) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gifu won 3.

Gifu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ryūkyū is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gifu might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gifu won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gifu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Gifu - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.05%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Ryūkyū - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 32.67%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gifu
Japan J3 League
24.08.25	Gifu - Fukushima United	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Gifu	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gifu	1:0 ✺
21.07.25	Gifu - Nara Club	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Gifu	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL
- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J3 League
23.08.25	Ryūkyū - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ryūkyū	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Ryūkyū - Nagano Parceiro	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Fukushima United - Ryūkyū	3:3 ✺
12.07.25	Ryūkyū - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
28.06.25	Ryūkyū - Gifu	1:0
24.11.24	Ryūkyū - Gifu	0:2
02.06.24	Gifu - Ryūkyū	2:2
24.11.23	Ryūkyū - Gifu	0:1
01.04.23	Gifu - Ryūkyū	3:1
Japan J2 League
31.08.19	Ryūkyū - Gifu	1:2
05.05.19	Gifu - Ryūkyū	2:1

Upcoming Matches