The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sagamihara 58%
Draw 22.4%
Giravanz Kitakyushu 19.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
27.6%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
26.3%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sagamihara's performance.
Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giravanz Kitakyushu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagamihara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Sagamihara - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kim Min-ho (G) 19. Okita S. 3. Pytlik K. 13. Tokida M. 2. Watahiki K. 4. Shimakawa T. 17. Takeuchi T. 10. Nakayama R. 7. Tanahashi A. 24. Sugimoto R. 9. Sasaki K.
31. Otani K. (G) 30. Fukumori K. 28. Yokokubo K. 3. Kamihashi R. 20. Yasumitsu S. 18. Hiramatsu S. 51. Sakashita Y. 8. Yoshinaga M. 66. Takahashi D. 11. Koh S. 37. Yoshida K.
Substitutes
34. Handai M. 8. Kambe K. 20. Kawabata Y. 15. Maeda T. 1. Miura M. (G) 11. Muto Y. 22. Okuyama Y. 6. Tokunaga Y. 5. Yamauchi R.
27. Hara K. 4. Hasegawa K. 7. Hirahara R. 6. Hoshi K. 14. Izawa H. 10. Nagai R. 5. Narasaka T. 52. Nishimura M. 41. Sugimoto M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Koh S. ⚽, Yasumitsu S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Takeuchi T. ↓, Kambe K. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Yasumitsu S. ⚽, Yoshida K. (A),
56', Nakayama R. ↓, Handai M. ↑,
58', Sasaki K. 🟨,
63', Yoshinaga M. ↓, Hara K. ↑,
63', Yoshida K. ↓, Nishimura M. ↑,
65', Tanahashi A. 🟨,
71', Shimakawa T. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
71', Okita S. ↓, Okuyama Y. ↑,
78', Koh S. ↓, Nagai R. ↑,
79', Sasaki K. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
87', Sakashita Y. ↓, Izawa H. ↑,
87', Fukumori K. ↓, Hasegawa K. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Maeda T. ⚽, Watahiki K. (A),
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 20th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 3.
In recent outings, Sagamihara has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Giravanz is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sagamihara may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Sagamihara carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Sagamihara has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:12 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sagamihara against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
Japan
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Kim Min-ho (G) 
Okita S. 
Pytlik K. 
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