The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gil Vicente 47.1%
Draw 28.8%
Marítimo 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
29.4%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
29.5%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Gil Vicente - Marítimo Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Marítimo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 45% – 100%.
30. Lucao (G) 47. Esgaio R. 4. Elimbi M. 39. Buatu J. (C) 45. Moreira D. 12. Lausen A. 86. Prioste D. 77. Murilo de Souza 10. Garcia S. 20. Pinto Martins G. 23. Hernandez H.
30. Vieites F. (G) 2. Igor Juliao 44. Correia R. (C) 22. Szalai G. 23. Henrique P. 6. Andrade R. 18. Danilovic V. 8. Dominguez M. 14. Raphael Guzzo 10. Tejon M. 17. Butzke A.
Substitutes
17. Bermejo S. 3. Espigares A. 11. Fernandes J. 32. Fernandez M. 19. Guilherme Gomes 99. Kaba M. 82. Maia G. 27. Moreira A. 94. Samuel Portugal (G) 2. Silva J. 7. Toure T. 26. Weverson
21. Alani I. 66. Ayuma I. 27. Bamba S. 12. Bassouamina M. 90. Boakye M. 35. Limbombe B. 5. Nilton 13. Pastor A. (G) 1. Tabuaco G. (G)
Coaches
Pinto L.
Van der Gaag M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Murilo de Souza ⚽, Pinto Martins G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Danilovic V. ↓, Nilton ↑,
54', Garcia S. 🟨,
57', Andrade R. 🟨,
66', Butzke A. ↓, Boakye M. ↑,
66', Dominguez M. ↓, Ayuma I. ↑,
71', Hernandez H. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
78', Tejon M. ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
78', Andrade R. ↓, Alani I. ↑,
84', Murilo de Souza ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
88', Lausen A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
88', Pinto Martins G. ↓, Espigares A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Ayuma I. ⚽, Boakye M. (A),
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 4.
Gil Vicente has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Marítimo is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this matchup, Gil Vicente is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Gil Vicente: Tchaptchet A.
(Inactive)
Walace Franca
(Inactive)
Weverson
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Marítimo: Ogbeta N.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Marítimo: Bouzaidi S.
(Inactive)
Santiago Perez J.
(Inactive).
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Gil Vicente has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:22 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gil Vicente against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:8 goals (averaging 1.2:0.9 per game).
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Lucao (G) 
Esgaio R. 
Elimbi M. 
Buatu J. (C) 
Moreira D. 
Lausen A. 
Garcia S. 
Szalai G. 
Danilovic V. 
Dominguez M. 
Fernandez M. 
Kaba M. 
Alani I. 
Bamba S. 
Bassouamina M. 
Limbombe B. 
Van der Gaag M. 
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