Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	Selekt, Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV


	Gil Vicente		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.3	3.9	Watch
	2.02	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2.07	3.39	4.03
	1.98	3.33	4.06	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.8
	2.06	3.39	4.01	Watch
	2.14	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.14)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	3.84 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gil Vicente
46.8%

Draw
28.6%

Vitoria Guimarães
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.2%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gil Vicente will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Figueira Daniel (G) 2. Ze Carlos (C) 48. Espigares A. 39. Buatu J. 3. Konan G. 5. Caseres F. 77. Murilo de Souza 95. Garcia S. 10. Esteves L. 27. Moreira A. 89. Varela G.	27. Charles Silva (G) 2. Maga 4. Rivas Viondi O. 28. Thiago Balieiro 13. Mendes J. II. 16. Beni 23. Sousa D. 88. Nogueira M. 20. Samu (C) 48. Saviolo N. 11. Gustavo
Substitutes
29. Carlos Eduardo 11. Fernandes J. 32. Fernandez M. 23. Hernandez H. 20. Hevertton S. 30. Lucao (G) 45. Mutombo J. 80. Rodrigues R. 6. Ze Carlos	26. Abascal R. 18. Arcanjo T. 22. Blanco F. 19. Camara O. 25. Castillo J. (G) 17. Lebedenko O. 30. Nogueira G. 7. Oliveira N. 66. Strata T.
Coaches
Peixoto C.	Lameiras G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Moreira A. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
64', Sousa D. ↓, Nogueira G. ↑,
64', Nogueira M. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Gustavo ⚽, Nogueira G. (A),
73', Caseres F. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
73', Esteves L. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
74', Gustavo ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
79', Varela G. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
79', Garcia S. ↓, Hernandez H. ↑,
81', Thiago Balieiro 🟨,
83', Charles Silva 🟨,
83', Konan G. 🟨,
84', Samu ↓, Abascal R. ↑,
84', Maga ↓, Strata T. ↑,
90+6', Ze Carlos 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Gil Vicente could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M. (Injury) Elimbi M. (Injury) Hernandez H. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Guimarães: Ndoye A. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Vitoria Guimaraes: 0.49% Gil Vicente: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Gil Vicente	7	3	2	2	6:5	1	11
14	Vitoria Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
13.04.26	Tondela - Gil Vicente	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Gil Vicente - AVS	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Santa Clara - Gil Vicente	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Gil Vicente - Alverca	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Estrela da Amadora - Gil Vicente	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TWLTT
- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
11.04.26	AVS - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Tondela	5:0 ✺
21.03.26	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Famalicão	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Santa Clara - Vitoria Guimarães	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
08.12.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente	0:0
11.04.25	Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1
02.12.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente	4:0
Taça de Portugal
08.02.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente	3:1
Liga Portugal
28.01.24	Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0
19.08.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente	2:1
21.05.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Gil Vicente	1:0

Upcoming Matches