The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moreirense 34.5%
Draw 30%
Marítimo 35.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
29.4%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
28.9%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30.8%
69.2%
0%
Moreirense - Marítimo Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Moreirense (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ferreira A. (G) 76. Pinto D. (C) 66. Batista G. 26. Maracas 27. Kiko 23. John N. 8. Stjepanovic M. 10. Bondoso K. 7. Mendonca M. 19. Andrade T. 79. Vonic L.
13. Pastor A. (G) 2. Igor Juliao 4. Fernandes R. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 14. Raphael Guzzo 18. Danilovic V. 6. Andrade R. 35. Limbombe B. 17. Butzke A. 10. Tejon M.
Substitutes
1. Aranha (G) 25. Assis A. 9. Duville-Parsemain A. 4. Kevyn Monteiro 11. Landerson 17. Martinez A. 21. Rodri 12. Sampaio F. (G) 2. Santos L. 28. Songa C. 99. Yan Maranhao
21. Alani I. 66. Ayuma I. 27. Bamba S. 12. Bassouamina M. 90. Boakye M. 8. Dominguez M. 5. Nilton 22. Szalai G. 1. Tabuaco G. (G) 15. Tavares T. 30. Vieites F. (G)
Coaches
Costa V.
Van der Gaag M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Andrade R. 🟨,
11', Bondoso K. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Mendonca M. ⚽, Andrade T. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Vonic L. ⚽, Kiko (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Limbombe B. ↓, Ayuma I. ↑,
46', Andrade R. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
60', Dominguez M. 🟨,
61', Vonic L. ↓, Duville-Parsemain A. ↑,
61', Bondoso K. ↓, Landerson ↑,
69', John N. ↓, Rodri ↑,
71', Danilovic V. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Correia R. ⚽,
80', Maracas ↓, Kevyn Monteiro ↑,
81', Mendonca M. ↓, Songa C. ↑,
81', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
81', Tejon M. ↓, Boakye M. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Duville-Parsemain A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', Ayuma I. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 3.
Moreirense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Marítimo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Moreirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Marítimo: Ogbeta N.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Marítimo: Bouzaidi S.
(Inactive)
Santiago Perez J.
(Inactive)
Tavares T.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Maritimo
8
2
2
4
9:14
-5
8
12
Moreirense
8
2
2
4
8:15
-7
8
Last Results with these Odds
Moreirense - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.96%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.
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Ferreira A. (G) 
Batista G. 
Maracas 
John N. 
Stjepanovic M. 
Vonic L. 
Pastor A. (G) 
Danilovic V. 
Limbombe B. 
Duville-Parsemain A. 
Songa C. 
Alani I. 
Bamba S. 
Bassouamina M. 
Dominguez M. 
Szalai G. 
Van der Gaag M. 
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