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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 32.9%
Draw 30.2%
AFC Wimbledon 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
29.9%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
29.6%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Gillingham (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Turner J. (G) 30. Gale S. 5. Smith A. 22. Ogie S. 2. Hutton R. 6. Coleman E. 27. Khumbeni N. 3. Clark M. 10. Williams J. (C) 18. Wyllie M. 17. Gbode J.
20. McDonnell J. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 26. Harbottle R. 6. Johnson R. (C) 2. Asiimwe N. 8. Maycock C. 18. McCoy-Splatt D. 29. Sasu A. 16. Hackford A. 7. Orsi-Dadomo D. 9. Bugiel O.
Substitutes
9. Andrews J. 33. Beszant C. 32. Cirino L. 23. Dack B. 8. Little A. 14. McKenzie R. 1. Morris G. (G) 20. Nevitt E. 34. Sargent S.
1. Bishop N. (G) 21. Hippolyte M. 22. Horan R. 10. Kelly J. 30. Nkeng R. 3. Seddon S. 24. Sidwell H. 12. Smith A. 14. Stevens M.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.
Jackson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Hackford A. ⚽, Orsi-Dadomo D. (A),
42', Sasu A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Ogie S. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
61', McCoy-Splatt D. ↓, Smith A. ↑,
62', Sasu A. ↓, Seddon S. ↑,
62', Hackford A. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
66', Khumbeni N. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
74', Gbode J. ↓, Sargent S. ↑,
74', Wyllie M. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
78', Bugiel O. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
80', Johnson R. 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Coleman E. ⚽, Clark M. (A),
84', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Clark M. (Pen),
1, Stevens M. (Pen),
2, Williams J. (Pen),
2, Kelly J. (Pen),
3, McKenzie R. (Pen),
3, Hippolyte M. (Pen),
4, Andrews J. (Pen),
4, Smith A. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
Recent performances by Gillingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wimbledon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.94%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Turner J. (G) 
Ogie S. 
Williams J. (C) 
Johnson R. (C) 
Asiimwe N. 
McCoy-Splatt D. 
Sasu A. 
Bugiel O. 
Cirino L. 
Hippolyte M. 
