Match Info

League One - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
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New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
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Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Luton Town		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.53	4.1	5.75
	1.5	3.95	6.3	Watch
	1.52	4.08	7.01
	1.55	3.75	6.28	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.54	3.95	6.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.59)	3.96 ↓ (4.02)	6.31 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
61.7%

Draw
23.5%

AFC Wimbledon
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.2%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	15.8%	5.3%

Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Luton (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luton Town will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Keeley J. (G) 28. Makosso C. 5. Andersen M. 3. Naismith K. (C) 2. Walters R. 8. Walsh L. 23. Saville G. 17. Lonwijk N. 18. Clark J. 21. Wells N. 7. Alli M.	1. Bishop N. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 2. Asiimwe N. 12. Smith A. 4. Reeves J. (C) 21. Hippolyte M. 3. Seddon S. 10. Kelly J. 14. Stevens M.
Substitutes
26. Baptiste S. 22. Dabo L. 30. Kodua G. 6. McGuinness M. 37. Nelson Z. 1. Shea J. (G) 10. Woodrow C.	9. Bugiel O. 16. Hackford A. 26. Harbottle R. 8. Maycock C. 20. McDonnell J. (G) 7. Orsi-Dadomo D. 29. Sasu A.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.	Jackson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Lewis J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Saville G. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
67', Lonwijk N. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
70', Stevens M. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
80', Kelly J. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
80', Clark J. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
80', Walsh L. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
83', Alli M. 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Johnson R. (Own goal),
88', Hippolyte M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
88', Walters R. ↓, McGuinness M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3.

Wimbledon's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Wimbledon has had a series of away games.

In this match, Luton is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury)

We predict that Luton will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Luton Town - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
22.07.25	Southend United - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Gillingham - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Boreham Wood - Luton Town	0:3 ✺
English League Championship
03.05.25	West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWL
- AFC Wimbledon
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Southend United - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
22.07.25	AFC Wimbledon - Millwall	0:3 ✺
19.07.25	Sutton United - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Watford - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
09.07.25	Enfield Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.04.19	Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:2
27.10.18	AFC Wimbledon - Luton Town	0:2
English EFL Trophy
31.10.17	AFC Wimbledon - Luton Town	1:2
English League Two
13.02.16	AFC Wimbledon - Luton Town	4:1
26.09.15	Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:0
21.02.15	AFC Wimbledon - Luton Town	3:2
16.08.14	Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:1

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