Match Info

League One - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	15:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	V Sport 2
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hungary	21:00	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	00:30	FanCode
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV3
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Luton Town		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	6.25	Watch
	1.53	4.1	5.75
	1.5	3.95	6.3	Watch
	1.52	4.08	7.01
	1.55	3.75	6.28	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.54	3.95	6.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.59)	3.96 ↓ (4.02)	6.31 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
61.7%

Draw
23.5%

AFC Wimbledon
14.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.2%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	15.8%	5.3%

Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Luton (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luton Town will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Keeley J. (G) 28. Makosso C. 5. Andersen M. 3. Naismith K. (C) 2. Walters R. 8. Walsh L. 23. Saville G. 17. Lonwijk N. 18. Clark J. 21. Wells N. 7. Alli M.	1. Bishop N. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 31. Lewis J. 6. Johnson R. 2. Asiimwe N. 12. Smith A. 4. Reeves J. (C) 21. Hippolyte M. 3. Seddon S. 10. Kelly J. 14. Stevens M.
Substitutes
26. Baptiste S. 22. Dabo L. 30. Kodua G. 6. McGuinness M. 37. Nelson Z. 1. Shea J. (G) 10. Woodrow C.	9. Bugiel O. 16. Hackford A. 26. Harbottle R. 8. Maycock C. 20. McDonnell J. (G) 7. Orsi-Dadomo D. 29. Sasu A.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.	Jackson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Lewis J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Saville G. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
67', Lonwijk N. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
70', Stevens M. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
80', Kelly J. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
80', Clark J. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
80', Walsh L. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
83', Alli M. 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Johnson R. (Own goal),
88', Hippolyte M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
88', Walters R. ↓, McGuinness M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3.

Wimbledon's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Wimbledon has had a series of away games.

In this match, Luton is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury)

We predict that Luton will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Luton Town - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
22.07.25	Southend United - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Gillingham - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
05.07.25	Boreham Wood - Luton Town	0:3 ✺
English League Championship
03.05.25	West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWL
- AFC Wimbledon
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Southend United - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
22.07.25	AFC Wimbledon - Millwall	0:3 ✺
19.07.25	Sutton United - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Watford - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
09.07.25	Enfield Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
23.04.19	Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:2
27.10.18	AFC Wimbledon - Luton Town	0:2
English EFL Trophy
31.10.17	AFC Wimbledon - Luton Town	1:2
English League Two
13.02.16	AFC Wimbledon - Luton Town	4:1
26.09.15	Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:0
21.02.15	AFC Wimbledon - Luton Town	3:2
16.08.14	Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:1

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