Match Info

League Two - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: The Wham Stadium (Accrington)

Referee: Yates O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Accrington Stanley		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.88	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.65
	2.45	3.05	2.9	Watch
	2.54	3.15	3.04
	2.80	2.87	2.70	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.73	3.24	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.89)	3.09 ↑ (3.09)	2.79 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
36.2%

Draw
30.3%

Gillingham
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

30.5%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Accrington Stanley - Gillingham Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gillingham will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gillingham (2.14) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.25 - Accrington (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Accrington (votes: 2 - 50%). Gillingham (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelly M. (G) 17. Matthews D. 5. Rawson F. (C) 25. Smith J. 2. Love D. 4. Grant C. 6. Coyle L. 8. Woods B. 11. Sinclair I. 18. Caton C. 23. Walton T.	1. Morris G. (G) 2. Hutton R. 4. Masterson C. 22. Ogie S. 3. Clark M. 14. McKenzie R. 8. Little A. (C) 23. Dack B. 10. Williams J. 17. Gbode J. 20. Nevitt E.
Substitutes
20. Brown C. 28. Conneely S. 10. Henderson A. 9. Mooney K. 19. Popoola A. 39. Woods J. 13. Wright O. (G)	9. Andrews J. 6. Coleman E. 30. Gale S. 27. Khumbeni N. 5. Smith A. 25. Turner J. (G) 18. Wyllie M.
Coaches
Doolan J.	Ainsworth G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Gbode J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Matthews D. 🟨,
58', Caton C. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
61', Ogie S. 🟨,
66', Grant C. 🟨,
67', 1 - 0, Walton T. ⚽, Coyle L. (A),
74', Dack B. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,
74', Williams J. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Matthews D. (Own goal),
80', Nevitt E. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
85', Walton T. ↓, Mooney K. ↑,
85', Gbode J. ↓, Gale S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.

Gillingham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Accrington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Gillingham: Vokes S. (Broken Hand)

There are questionable in Accrington: O'Brien C. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Accrington Stanley - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 32.61%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Gillingham - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.89%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Accrington Stanley - Rotherham United	4:1 ✺
19.07.25	Accrington Stanley - Wigan Athletic	2:4 ✺
15.07.25	Accrington Stanley - Everton	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Accrington Stanley - Blackburn Rovers	1:2 ✺
English League Two
03.05.25	Accrington Stanley - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLTLL
- Gillingham FC
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Dartford - Gillingham	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Ebbsfleet United - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Gillingham - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Gillingham - Reading	0:0 ✺
08.07.25	Dover Athletic - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
15.03.25	Accrington Stanley - Gillingham	1:1
12.10.24	Gillingham - Accrington Stanley	1:2
13.01.24	Accrington Stanley - Gillingham	1:2
12.08.23	Gillingham - Accrington Stanley	1:0
English League One
26.03.22	Accrington Stanley - Gillingham	1:2
30.10.21	Gillingham - Accrington Stanley	0:0
16.01.21	Accrington Stanley - Gillingham	0:1

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