Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 8 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Brook C. (Eng)


	Gillingham		Southampton

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.53
	6	4.1	1.53
	6.25	4	1.53
	6.56	4.3	1.5
	5	3.6	1.55
	6.25	4.25	1.51	Watch
	6	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.01 ↑ (4.84)	4.09 ↑ (3.98)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
15.6%

Draw
22.9%

Southampton
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

23.5%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

22.6%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	15.4%	69.2%

Gillingham - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). S`hampton will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morris G. (G) 2. Alexander C. 22. Ogie S. 5. Ehmer M. (C) 14. McKenzie R. 3. Clark M. 7. Lapslie G. 18. Coleman E. 11. Jefferies D. 17. Clarke J. 10. Nadesan A.	1. McCarthy A. (G) 14. Bree J. 25. Lyanco 24. Charles S. 15. Perraud R. 29. Meghoma J. 17. Armstrong S. 19. Djenepo M. 27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 18. Mara S. 10. Adams C. (C)
Substitutes
32. Chambers J. 34. Gale S. 29. Gbode J. 13. Malone S. 9. Nichols T. 25. Turner J. (G) 8. Williams J.	22. Alcaraz C. 7. Aribo J. 34. Ballard D. 33. Dibling T. 32. Doyle K. 23. Edozie S. 13. Lumley J. (G) 12. Onuachu P. 5. Stephens J.
Coaches
Harris N.	Martin R.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

S`hampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match S`hampton is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
05.08.23	Stockport County - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Dartford - Gillingham	0:5 ✺
18.07.23	Gillingham - Charlton Athletic	1:3 ✺
15.07.23	Gillingham - Millwall	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLL
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
04.08.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Southampton	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Southampton - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
25.07.23	Southampton - Bournemouth	2:3 ✺
22.07.23	Reading - Southampton	2:4 ✺
15.07.23	Göztepe - Southampton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWT

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