Match Info

Championship - Round 34

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Southampton		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.9	4.5	Watch
	1.74	3.96	4.45	Watch
	1.7	4.01	4.65	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.5
	1.73	4.04	4.9	Watch
	1.7	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.68)	3.94 ↓ (3.95)	4.58 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
55.4%

Draw
24%

Queens Park Rangers
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

23.9%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

22.9%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Queens Park Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	23.3%	10%

Southampton - Queens Park Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). QPR will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 48.2% – 82.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Peretz D. (G) 14. Bree J. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 5. Stephens J. (C) 3. Manning R. 4. Downes F. 20. Jander C. 27. Matsuki K. 10. Azaz F. 13. Scienza L. 9. Larin C.	13. Walsh J. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 3. Dunne J. (C) 37. Edwards R. 18. Norrington-Davies R. 20. Vale H. 15. Hayden I. 24. Madsen N. 14. Saito K. 22. Kone R. 26. Kolli R.
Substitutes
19. Archer C. 48. Bragg C. 24. Charles S. 23. Edozie S. 18. Fellows T. 38. Jelert E. 25. Long G. (G) 11. Stewart R. 15. Wood N.	2. Adamson K. 48. Alemayehu Mulugeta I. 23. Bennie D. 6. Clarke-Salter J. 28. Esquerdinha 29. Hamer B. (G) 21. Morgan K. 30. Smith T. 40. Varane J.
Coaches
Eckert T.	Stephan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Azaz F. ⚽, Manning R. (A),
16', Jander C. 🟨,
31', Madsen N. ↓, Morgan K. ↑,
45+2', 2 - 0, Matsuki K. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Kolli R. ↓, Bennie D. ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Matsuki K. ⚽,
59', 4 - 0, Scienza L. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
60', Vale H. ↓, Adamson K. ↑,
61', Norrington-Davies R. ↓, Esquerdinha ↑,
67', Kone R. ↓, Varane J. ↑,
68', Azaz F. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
68', Larin C. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
70', 5 - 0, Bree J. ⚽,
75', Scienza L. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
75', Matsuki K. ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
82', Downes F. ↓, Charles S. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 5.

S`hampton is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, QPR has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

QPR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, S`hampton is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in S`hampton: Robinson J. (Thigh Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Welington (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in QPR: Burrell R. (Injury) Dembele K. (Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Obikwu J. (Knock) Poku K. (Injury)

There are questionable in QPR: Chair I. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that S`hampton will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Southampton: 9.9% QPR: 3.11%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	QPR	9	3	5	1	11:8	3	14
16	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19:10	9	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
21.02.26	Southampton - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Southampton - Leicester City	2:1 ET ✺
English League Championship
10.02.26	Leicester City - Southampton	3:4 ✺
07.02.26	Southampton - Watford	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Stoke City - Southampton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWW
- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
21.02.26	Hull City - Queens Park Rangers	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Queens Park Rangers - Blackburn Rovers	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	Charlton Athletic - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Queens Park Rangers - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Queens Park Rangers - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
05.11.25	Queens Park Rangers - Southampton	1:2
23.12.23	Queens Park Rangers - Southampton	0:1
26.08.23	Southampton - Queens Park Rangers	2:1
English Premier League
07.02.15	Queens Park Rangers - Southampton	0:1
27.09.14	Southampton - Queens Park Rangers	2:1
02.03.13	Southampton - Queens Park Rangers	1:2
17.11.12	Queens Park Rangers - Southampton	1:3

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