The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gillingham 13.8%
Draw 21.5%
Wycombe Wanderers 64.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.5%
26.3%
48.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
25.9%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gillingham's form might have worsened.
Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wycombe Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gillingham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wycombe Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
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X
2
0%
50%
50%
Gillingham - Wycombe Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Wycombe will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wycombe: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Wycombe (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Wycombe (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Holtam T. (G) 2. Hutton R. (C) 31. Dobbs L. 22. Ogie S. 15. Akomeah T. 27. Khumbeni N. 24. Waldock H. 18. Wyllie M. 33. Beszant C. 11. Rowe A. 17. Smith J.
31. Moore S. (C) 34. Matton J. 22. Back F. 24. McNeilly D. 65. Gregory A. 26. Taylor C. 51. Lowry A. 7. Quitirna A. 42. Westergaard M. 8. Boyd-Munce C. 9. Fink B.
Substitutes
9. Andrews J. 3. Clark M. 35. Dayal L. 30. Gale S. 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 34. Sargent S. 25. Turner J. (G)
17. Casey D. 23. Huggins N. 50. Norris W. (G) 33. Peart B. 37. Savage M. 64. Stones C. 15. Tilley J.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.
Duff M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Lowry A. ⚽, Quitirna A. (A),
18', Akomeah T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hutton R. ↓, Gale S. ↑,
46', Smith J. ↓, Sargent S. ↑,
60', Back F. ↓, Huggins N. ↑,
60', McNeilly D. ↓, Tilley J. ↑,
61', Khumbeni N. ↓, Dayal L. ↑,
61', Ogie S. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Matton J. ⚽, Boyd-Munce C. (A),
71', Rowe A. ↓, Andrews J. ↑,
75', Lowry A. ↓, Savage M. ↑,
75', Matton J. ↓, Casey D. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Fink B. ⚽, Tilley J. (A),
87', Fink B. ↓, Stones C. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 2.
Recent form of Gillingham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Wycombe is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Wycombe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Wycombe has had a series of home games.
Wycombe might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Wycombe Wanderers - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.21%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.