Match Info

League Two - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Gillingham		Salford City

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.65	Watch
	2.52	3.35	2.62	Watch
	2.69	3.35	2.69
	2.27	3.26	3.04	Watch
	2.57	3.22	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.28)	3.28 ↑ (3.26)	2.74 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gillingham
37.3%

Draw
28.6%

Salford City
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

28.9%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

28.4%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Gillingham - Salford City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Salford (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). Salford (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morris G. (G) 2. Hutton R. 5. Smith A. 22. Ogie S. 3. Clark M. 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 14. McKenzie R. (C) 6. Coleman E. 23. Dack B. 19. Vokes S. 9. Andrews J.	1. Young M. (G) 6. Turton O. 22. Oluwo A. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 4. Ashley O. 15. Cooper B. 14. Harris K. 7. Woodburn B. 21. Cesay K. 10. N'Mai K. 23. Udoh D.
Substitutes
15. Akomeah T. 32. Cirino L. 8. Little A. 20. Nevitt E. 11. Rowe A. 25. Turner J. (G) 18. Wyllie M.	17. Austerfield J. 16. Borini F. 18. Butcher M. 8. Grant J. 33. Howard M. (G) 45. Longelo-Mbule R. 9. Stockton C.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.	Robinson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', Morris G. ↓, Turner J. ↑,
7', 0 - 1, Udoh D. ⚽, Cesay K. (A),
23', Dack B. (Pen),
27', 0 - 2, Cesay K. ⚽, Woodburn B. (A),
33', Ashley O. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
36', 1 - 2, Andrews J. ⚽, Vokes S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Udoh D. 🟨,
57', Dack B. 🟨,
58', Woodburn B. 🟨,
61', Dack B. ↓, Little A. ↑,
66', Coleman E. 🟨,
67', Woodburn B. ↓, Austerfield J. ↑,
72', Garbutt L. 🟨,
73', N'Mai K. 🟨,
79', N'Mai K. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
81', Andrews J. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
81', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
81', Coleman E. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
85', Oluwo A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 4.

Gillingham has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Salford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Gillingham: Gale S. (Yellow Cards) Hutton R. (Red Card) Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Williams J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Salford: Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Grant J. (Inactive) Mnoga H. (Yellow Cards) Rose M. (Leg Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gillingham FC
English League Two
18.10.25	Grimsby Town - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Gillingham - Cheltenham Town	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Colchester United - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham	3:2 ✺
27.09.25	Gillingham - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Salford City
English League Two
18.10.25	Salford City - Oldham Athletic	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Chesterfield - Salford City	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Salford City - Stockport County	3:1 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Salford City - Grimsby Town	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Bristol Rovers - Salford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.04.25	Salford City - Gillingham	2:2
07.12.24	Gillingham - Salford City	1:0
02.03.24	Salford City - Gillingham	0:2
18.11.23	Gillingham - Salford City	3:1
08.05.23	Salford City - Gillingham	0:1
03.12.22	Gillingham - Salford City	0:3

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