Match Info

K3 League - Round 20

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Gimhae Sports Complex (Gimhae)


	Gimhae		Gangneung

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.4
	1.7	3.45	4.35
	1.75	3.5	4.7
	1.61	3.80	5.43	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.55)	3.53 ↓ (3.78)	4.69 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimhae
54.5%

Draw
26%

Gangneung
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

24.1%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

22.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimhae has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Gangneung has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangneung than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Gimhae - Gangneung Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,
81', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimhae won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Gimhae is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimhae won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimhae won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimhae FC
South Korean K3 League
26.07.25	Gimhae - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:3 ✺
20.07.25	Daejeon Korail - Gimhae	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Gimhae - Ulsan Citizen	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Gimhae - Jeonbuk 2	2:2 ✺
28.06.25	Yangpyeong - Gimhae	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTTTW
- Gangneung FC
South Korean K3 League
25.07.25	Gangneung - Daejeon Korail	4:3 ✺
20.07.25	Ulsan Citizen - Gangneung	1:0 ✺
13.07.25	Gangneung - Jeonbuk 2	3:1 ✺
06.07.25	Gangneung - Yangpyeong	3:1 ✺
29.06.25	Pocheon - Gangneung	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
19.04.25	Gangneung - Gimhae	1:1
02.11.24	Gimhae - Gangneung	3:0
23.06.24	Gangneung - Gimhae	2:3
29.10.23	Gangneung - Gimhae	0:5
03.06.23	Gimhae - Gangneung	3:2
17.09.22	Gangneung - Gimhae	0:0
15.05.22	Gimhae - Gangneung	1:1

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