Match Info

K3 League - Round 14

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Ulsan Complex Stadium (Ulsan)


	Ulsan Citizen		Gangneung

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.95	2.55
	2.70	2.95	2.48	Watch
	2.84	3.05	2.79
	2.89	2.81	2.6	Watch
	2.70	2.70	2.60
	2.71	2.78	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.7)	2.87 ↓ (2.95)	2.6 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan Citizen
33.3%

Draw
31.7%

Gangneung
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

30.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

30.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ulsan Citizen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Gangneung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangneung than the current prediction. (+1%)

Ulsan Citizen - Gangneung Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 2.

Ulsan Citizen has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Gangneung has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Ulsan Citizen has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan Citizen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ulsan Citizen	23	8	4	11	24:26	-2	28
11	Gangneung	23	7	6	10	21:32	-11	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
30.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Pocheon	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Changwon City - Ulsan Citizen	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Siheung	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Ulsan Citizen - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Gangneung FC
South Korean K3 League
30.05.26	Gangneung - Changwon City	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Yangpyeong - Gangneung	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Siheung - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Gangneung - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Gangneung - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
07.03.26	Gangneung - Ulsan Citizen	0:2
20.07.25	Ulsan Citizen - Gangneung	1:0
29.03.25	Gangneung - Ulsan Citizen	2:2
01.09.24	Ulsan Citizen - Gangneung	0:0
04.05.24	Gangneung - Ulsan Citizen	0:0
08.07.23	Ulsan Citizen - Gangneung	0:1
25.03.23	Gangneung - Ulsan Citizen	1:2

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