Match Info

K3 League - Round 11

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday


	Gimhae		Busan Kyotong

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.59	3.7	5	Watch
	1.62	3.8	5.25
	1.6	3.7	5.16	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.55	3.62	5.57	Watch
	1.59	3.7	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 (1.59)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	5.14 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimhae
57.3%

Draw
25%

Busan Kyotong
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.9%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

24.5%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimhae has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Busan Kyotong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Gimhae - Busan Kyotong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Lee Kang-Uk ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Lee Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
68', 3 - 0, ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimhae won 3.

Gimhae has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Busan Kyotong is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Busan Kyotong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gimhae has had a series of away games.

In this match, Gimhae is considered a favorite.

We predict that Gimhae will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimhae won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimhae won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimhae FC
South Korean K3 League
18.05.25	Yeoju - Gimhae	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Changwon City - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Gimhae - Chuncheon	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Gangneung - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWT
- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
23.05.25	Daejeon Korail - Busan Kyotong	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Busan Kyotong	0:1 ✺
02.05.25	Busan Kyotong - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Busan Kyotong - Pocheon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
18.08.24	Gimhae - Busan Kyotong	1:2
20.04.24	Busan Kyotong - Gimhae	2:3
19.08.23	Busan Kyotong - Gimhae	1:2
22.04.23	Gimhae - Busan Kyotong	2:1
09.07.22	Busan Kyotong - Gimhae	0:0
27.03.22	Gimhae - Busan Kyotong	0:0
26.09.21	Busan Kyotong - Gimhae	2:1

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