Match Info

K3 League - Round 9

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Yeoju		Gimhae

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.75
	4.6	3.6	1.65	Watch
	5.29	3.71	1.64
	5.02	3.6	1.64	Watch
	5.02	3.58	1.61	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↑ (3.9)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeoju
19.3%

Draw
25.5%

Gimhae
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

24.9%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.7%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeoju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Gimhae has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeoju than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimhae than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Yeoju - Gimhae Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Yeo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 2, Jung Min-Woo ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 1).

Yeoju has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gimhae is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Gimhae has had a series of away games.

In this match, Gimhae is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Yeoju won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Yeoju won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeoju FC
South Korean K3 League
09.05.25	Yeoju - Daejeon Korail	0:3 ✺
03.05.25	Ulsan Citizen - Yeoju	0:1 ✺
26.04.25	Yeoju - Jeonbuk 2	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Yeoju - Yangpyeong	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Pocheon - Yeoju	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLL
- Gimhae FC
South Korean K3 League
10.05.25	Changwon City - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Gimhae - Chuncheon	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Gangneung - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Daegu - Gimhae	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
08.09.24	Gimhae - Yeoju	0:0
12.05.24	Yeoju - Gimhae	0:2

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