Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 June 2024, Sunday


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Ceuta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3	3.7
	1.95	3.1	4
	1.96	3.24	4.05
	1.95	3.24	4.05
	1.91	3.2	3.8
	2.01	3.32	3.95
	1.9	3.15	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.03)	3.18 ↑ (3.05)	3.92 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
47.5%

Draw
29%

Ceuta
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.5%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Varo A. (G) 4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 2. Trigueros P. 3. Nacho Gonzalez 21. Oriol J. 22. Jardi J. 6. Gorostidi A. 14. Sanz O. 23. Concha D. 17. Fernandez P. 29. Godoy A.	1. Lopez P. (G) 2. Rodriguez F. 5. Lolo Gonzalez 20. Danese F. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 7. Ahmed A. 8. Melendez A. 12. Uche C. U. 10. Iglesias J. 22. Teguia C. 9. Rodri
Substitutes
5. Dufur U. 10. Escudero A. 11. Fernandez M. 18. Martinez B. 8. Montalvo M. 15. Mula A. 12. Ortega I. 1. Parra Bove D. (G) 16. Pochettino M. 19. Rodriguez M. 9. Santamaria G. 20. Tirlea A.	4. Caparros A. 15. Doncel C. 18. El Ftouhi S. 6. Erimuya S. 17. Garcia A. 11. Garcia P. 23. Gonzalez N. 21. Lopez J. 14. Rico M. 19. Romera D. 24. Stopajnik T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Godoy A. ⚽,
39', Gorostidi A. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
44', Nacho Gonzalez 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Martinez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Iglesias J. ↓, Romera D. ↑,
46', Rodriguez F. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
60', Fernandez P. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
60', Jardi J. ↓, Escudero A. ↑,
61', Concha D. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Rodri ⚽,
68', Ahmed A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
73', Rodri 🟨,
85', Concha D. ↓, Santamaria G. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Gimnàstic is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ceuta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gimnàstic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.06.24	Ceuta - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
18.05.24	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
05.05.24	Sabadell - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWWWT
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.06.24	Ceuta - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.05.24	Mérida AD - Ceuta	3:2 ✺
18.05.24	Ceuta - Atlético Madrid B	4:0 ✺
12.05.24	Alcoyano - Ceuta	3:1 ✺
05.05.24	Ceuta - Antequera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.06.24	Ceuta - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2

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