Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Esport3, FEF TV


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Unionistas de Salamanca

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	4.1
	1.93	3.2	3.5
	2	3.25	3.65
	1.97	3.19	3.76	Watch
	1.92	3.21	4.24
	2	3.25	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.81)	3.2 ↓ (3.33)	3.82 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
47.2%

Draw
28.7%

Unionistas de Salamanca
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.6%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

26.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástic de Tarragona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnàstic (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Unionistas (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Gimnástic de Tarragona will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rebollo D. (G) 20. Miguel 15. Leal A. 3. Perez G. 21. Oriol J. (C) 8. Montalvo M. 6. Gorostidi A. 23. Concha D. 19. Torres R. 22. Narro V. 9. Antonin	1. Martinez I. (G) 26. Garcia M. 4. Mayor R. 3. Garcia C. 24. Ortuno F. 7. Rastrojo J. 6. Rabadan D. 14. Chuca 8. Martinez P. 9. Moreno I. 17. Garcia D.
Substitutes
. Agus 5. Dufur U. 11. Fernandez M. 17. Fernandez P. 10. Jardi J. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Junca D. . Pujol E. 26. Salva J. (G) 1. Varo A. (G)	10. de la Nava C. 18. Garcia P. 11. Gomez A. 16. Gonzalez I. 28. Parra H. G. 22. Santamaria G. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Narro V. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', Martinez P. 🟨,
58', Garcia D. ↓, Santamaria G. ↑,
58', Martinez P. ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,
63', Ortuno F. 🟨,
68', Concha D. 🟨,
69', Torres R. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
69', Concha D. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Fernandez P. ⚽,
75', Rastrojo J. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
75', Moreno I. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
76', Narro V. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
83', Chuca ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Gorostidi A. ⚽,
86', Antonin ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
86', Gorostidi A. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Fernandez M. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

Recent matches Gimnàstic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unionistas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnàstic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.04.25	Sestao - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:2 ✺
30.03.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ponferradina	5:1 ✺
22.03.25	Zamora - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Tarazona - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTWT
- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.04.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Osasuna B	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Zamora - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Lugo - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.12.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0
24.03.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1
03.12.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0

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