Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.5
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.59	3.75	5.4
	1.6	3.72	5.77
	1.57	3.73	5.51	Watch
	1.63	3.54	5.72
	1.59	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.71)	3.66 ↑ (3.45)	5.47 ↑ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
58%

Draw
25.2%

Amorebieta
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

26.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

27.6%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Unionistas de Salamanca - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez I. (G) 26. Garcia M. 4. Mayor R. 5. Baz I. 24. Ortuno F. 7. Rastrojo J. 16. Gonzalez I. 14. Chuca 19. Arriba J. 10. de la Nava C. 22. Santamaria G.	1. Marino U. (C) 2. Carbonell A. 22. Yuste A. 5. Amelibia J. 4. Kortazar M. 3. Camacho S. 16. Masllorens J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 17. Munoz I. 8. Vicandi A. 7. Selma D.
Substitutes
3. Garcia C. 17. Garcia D. 18. Garcia P. 11. Gomez A. 8. Martinez P. 9. Moreno I. 23. Pascual A. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G) 20. Tur J. A. 21. Verges E.	10. Berto 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 23. Calavera J. 20. Coto E. 18. Coulibaly A. 11. Hervias P. 9. Kaxe 25. Montoya J. (G) 24. Perez E. 12. Sola J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Ben Hamed N. 🟨,
28', Vicandi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 🟨,
58', 🟥,
59', 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Garcia M. ⚽,
88', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Unionistas is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Unionistas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.03.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - FC Andorra	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Barakaldo - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:1 ✺
14.02.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Real Unión de Irun - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLT
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.03.25	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Sestao - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Amorebieta - Ponferradina	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Leonesa - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Amorebieta - Arenteiro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.10.24	Amorebieta - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:3
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.11.19	Amorebieta - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:3

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