Match Info

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.88
	2.45	2.8	2.75
	2.6	2.9	2.85
	2.65	2.84	2.99
	2.65	2.73	2.99
	2.63	2.72	2.96
	2.5	2.8	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.15)	2.8 ↓ (2.9)	2.9 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
35.7%

Draw
32.7%

Cacereño
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

31.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnástica Segoviana's form might have worsened.

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástica Segoviana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Gimnástica Segoviana - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Diaz Rodriguez H. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, De La Mata J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', 3 - 0, Plomer D. ⚽,
71', 4 - 0, Astray P. ⚽,
73', 5 - 0, Olmedilla M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 9).

Recent matches Gimnástica Segoviana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cacereño is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gimnástica Segoviana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gimnástica Segoviana will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gimnástica Segoviana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnástica Segoviana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	UD San Fernando - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Unión Adarve - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLT
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.03.24	Cacereño - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina	4:0 ✺
10.03.24	Ursaria - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Cacereño - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.11.23	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:3
16.04.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Cacereño	1:5
04.12.22	Cacereño - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2

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