Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 25

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday


	Gimnástica Segoviana		CD Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.2	3.2	3.2
	2.23	3.1	3.33
	2.23	3.1	3.33
	2.2	3.18	3.23
	2.17	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.83)	3.09 ↓ (3.14)	3.23 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
41.9%

Draw
29.7%

CD Guadalajara
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

29%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

27.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnástica Segoviana's form might have worsened.

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnástica Segoviana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Gimnástica Segoviana - CD Guadalajara Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. G Segoviana will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, Abel P. ⚽,
85', 2 - 0, Molina S. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 11).

Gimnástica Segoviana is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Guadalajara is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gimnástica Segoviana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gimnástica Segoviana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnástica Segoviana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	UD San Fernando - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Unión Adarve - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:3 ✺
18.02.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLTW
- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.03.24	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Paso	3:1 ✺
17.03.24	Llerenense - CD Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	CD Guadalajara - Montijo	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1
07.05.23	CD Guadalajara - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:1
08.01.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - CD Guadalajara	2:1

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