Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 26

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Ursaria		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	3	2.75	2.4
	2.85	2.75	2.45
	2.9	2.9	2.55	Watch
	3.06	2.77	2.61
	3.06	2.77	2.61
	2.96	2.95	2.49
	3	2.8	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.06)	2.81 ↑ (2.75)	2.51 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
30.8%

Draw
32.6%

Cacereño
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

33.2%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

33.1%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Ursaria - Cacereño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out and 10).

Ursaria is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cacereño is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cacereño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ursaria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Ursaria - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Ursaria - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Ursaria	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Ursaria - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTLL
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.03.24	Cacereño - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Cacereño - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Cacereño - Mensajero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.10.23	Cacereño - Ursaria	2:3

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